BITS is coming off back to back winnings weeks, and looking to make it 3 winning weeks in a row this week. Below are locks for this weekend :
5 Star Locks :
Dolphis +3 @ Jets : Yes the Jets beat the Dolphins already in Miami this year, and yes they almost took down the Patriots in New England. But Jets just haven’t been playing good ball overall. And Dolphins have looked good the past several weeks. This is more a bet against Sanchez, who we think is going to have a horrid day vs the Dolphins D. Look for Tebow chants to start early as Miami defeats the Jets in this one 24-13. If your book has line at 2.5, make sure to buy it to +3.
4 Star Locks :
Cowboys +3 vs. Giants : Cowboys actually opened as a favorite by 1 point, but this line has move 4 points during the week as over 80% of America currently on the Giants. Yes Eli has played superb, throwing for almost 1100 yards in 3 games at Jerry’s World, but Cowboys did beat the Giants to open the year. Add to that, 6 of the past 7 matchups, the underdog has covered, and Dallas covers over 80% of the time in past 10 years when a home dog. And when that much of America likes the Giants, smells like a Vegas trap. Buy the line up to +3 if stays hovering at +2.5. Worst case is Giants win at the end with an Eli comeback. We will go with Cowboys holding on for a 27-24 win.
Michigan +2 @ Nebraska : Wolverines have only lost to Bama and Notre Dame this year, and are playing well. We see the Wolverings peaking late in the year and possibly running the table these last 5 games. Nebraska has not covered for 3 straight weeks, and their defense has given up 118 pts in those 3 games. Lack of defense for Nebraska the key here, as this one gets our “Wrong Team Favored” label.
4 Star Teaser Special :
Wisconsin + Kansas State : Tease both of these down to 0.5, so that they both just have to win the game. Michigan State and Texas Tech may put up a fight, but neither will win on the road.
3 Star Locks :
Seahawks +3 @ Lions : While Lions did get a backdoor cover at very end on Monday night against the Bears, they looked pathetic. And Seattle has been impressive, especially defensively this year. They already have beaten the Packers, Patriots and Cowboys, and hung tough with the 49ers. Interesting stat is that the underdog in Seahawk games this year is 7-0 ATS. That’s enough of a streak for us to believe in. We will take the Field Goal and look for Seattle to at pull a minor upset, 23-21.
Chiefs 1st Half vs Raiders : The Raiders seem to struggle out of the gates in games. And the Chiefs have started strong in several games. Look for KC to jump out first on Oakland, and hold onto a 17-10 lead at the half. Line is Chiefs -1, so halftime line should be Chiefs -0.5.
Georgia +7 vs Florida : Everything you study makes you like Gators. But BITS can’t get past the talent pool on Georgia’s roster. The Bulldogs are stacked with Pro Prospects, and while the Gator Defense is possibly the best in the country after Bama, something tells me this could be the Bulldog statement game. If Georgia gets blownout here, likely will be the last Cocktail Richt enjoys in Jacksonville. Make sure to get the line at +7. I feel an upset here, but to be safe get the 7. Bet at your own risk though. Gators have burned BITS twice already this year as we took the other side against them in A&M and SC.
Notre Dame +12.5 @ Oklahoma : The line is moving in the direction of the Sooners, as line is up to 12.5 and climbing. Maybe I am getting trapped here as Vegas begging us to take the Irish. We will fall for it. Top 5 team that is undefeated should never be catching double digit points. Give me the Irish to keep it under 12.